Flip / Investment Deal Overview
A buy at the right price, a pass at the wrong one.
Off-market, tax-delinquent, mid-renovation brick ranch. 3 bed / 1.5 bath, 1,008 sqft, built 1973, 29307.
157 Brookhaven Circle: brick ranch, severely overgrown lot.
A small brick ranch on a quiet older street in east Spartanburg (29307), mid-renovation and sitting empty. New vinyl windows and new LVP flooring are already in; the kitchen and both bathrooms are unfinished, two electrical panels are open, and the lot is badly overgrown. The county still lists it as a 2 bed / 1 bath, but it has been reconfigured to a 3 bed / 1.5 bath.
It is off-market with no asking price. An LLC bought it out of foreclosure in July 2024 for $122,000, and it is now tax-delinquent (sold at tax sale in both 2024 and 2025). After a roughly $45,500 completion-grade rehab it should be worth about $170,000. The whole question is the acquisition price.
The exit is proven on the same street: 713 Brookhaven was bought distressed at $128,000, fully renovated, and resold for about $182,000 to $189,000. The two priciest items, windows and flooring, are already done, so this is a completion, not a gut, and the rehab is only about 26 percent of the after-repair value. The tax-delinquency is a lever, not just a liability: it is the reason a price well below the owner's basis is realistic.
There is no set price, so it only works if you negotiate the buy down to roughly $63,000 to $73,000 or below; at the owner's $122,000 basis it loses money. Three cost drivers could not be confirmed from the video: the electrical panel brand (an FPE or Zinsco panel would add cost), the HVAC system, and the water heater, none of which were on camera. Two ceiling stains point to an active roof leak. The 1.5 bath is a step below the 3/2 comps. And this read is from video only, not an on-site inspection.
Buy at or below $63,000 (the price that nets a $45,000 profit) and clear the back taxes as part of the deal. Refilm the panel label, the HVAC unit, and the water heater (see the filming guide inside) to convert the three biggest unknowns into firm numbers, and confirm the roof leak is a localized repair, not a new roof. If the budget allows, adding a second full bath to make it a true 3/2 would lift the resale toward the stronger comps.
Flip / investment deal overview | Prepared Jun 17, 2026 | 3 bd / 1.5 ba | 1,008 sqft | 0 ac | built 1973 | vacant, mid-renovation
Part 1 of 4
The verdict, the money, and the ways to make it.
| Strategy | Max buy-in | Capital / cash | Expected return | When it is the play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail flip | $62,966 | All cash or hard money into purchase + rehab; one-time gain at resale. | $45,000 net | You can acquire at or below that price and want a one-time gain. |
| Rental hold | $83,972 | Down payment + rehab + closing stay in; financed long-term. | 5.3% cap, $10/mo cash flow at ask | You can hold and the buy is above the flip ceiling. |
| BRRRR | $83,972 | $29,870 left in after a $127,500 refinance (75% of ARV). | $10/mo cash flow plus capital recycled | Appraisal supports the refi and you want to recycle capital into the next deal. |
| Wholesale / assign | Below the flip max offer | No renovation; you never close, you assign the contract. | 5,000 to 15,000 assignment fee (typical) | You can tie it up cheap and do not want to renovate. |
Max buy-in and returns are engine-computed at the $122,000 reference; the flip max is the buy-in that nets the $45,000 target, the hold and BRRRR max is the 7% cap ceiling. Wholesale carries no engine number; the fee is a market-typical range. The BRRRR capital-left-in is shown at the $122,000 reference price; at the strategic hold buy-in (around the 7% cap ceiling) the same refinance recovers nearly all of the invested capital, so the BRRRR upside is larger than the reference figure suggests.
| ARV \ Rehab | $33,000 | $45,540 | $58,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| $160,000 | $66,108 | $53,754 | $41,478 |
| $170,000 | $75,320 | $62,966 (base) | $50,690 |
| $180,000 | $84,532 | $72,177 | $59,901 |
The base case (ARV $170,000, rehab $45,540) is the headline; the grid shows how the max flip offer (the price that nets the $45,000 target) moves with the two levers.
| Purchase price | Projected net profit |
|---|---|
| $50,000 | $58,160 |
| $65,000 | $42,935 |
| $80,000 | $27,710 |
| $122,000 (asking price) | ($14,920) |
Part 2 of 4
Condition, the county record, and the photo set.
Condition read from 6 narrated walkthrough videos plus 1 exterior photo by the Agent (two passes, no on-site inspection). A mid-renovation brick ranch: new LVP and new United vinyl windows are largely in, but the kitchen and both baths are unfinished, two electrical panels sit uncovered with exposed wiring, two ceiling stains point to an active roof leak, the rear door opens to a 3 to 4 ft drop with no stairs, and the lot is severely overgrown. FACT = clearly visible in the footage; OBSERVATION = inferred. County record is POOR condition, 1 full bath; the walkthrough confirms a 3BR / 1.5BA reconfiguration.
| Area | Condition note |
|---|---|
| Kitchen | FACT: mid-renovation. White shaker cabinets installed (one base cabinet open and empty), no countertops fully set, no appliances, sink present but not connected, subway backsplash partial. Water stain on the ceiling/wall. Completion needed. |
| Full bathroom (hall) | FACT: gutted. Tub/shower area framed, no surround or fixtures, vanity missing, drywall cut around the shower pipe, toilet present. No exhaust fan visible. Full build-out. |
| Half bathroom (master) | FACT: floating wall sink and toilet installed, near complete. OBSERVATION: no GFCI visible. Minor completion. |
| Flooring | FACT: new LVP through most of the home, mostly complete with gaps at some transitions and missing baseboard. OBSERVATION: subfloor reads solid; no rot shown. |
| Windows | FACT: new United (United Window and Door) double-pane vinyl replacements throughout, some with stickers still on. A value-add already done. |
| Electrical | FACT: two panel boxes in the hallway, deadfront covers off, live wiring exposed (safety hazard). Brand NOT legible on video (motion blur). FACT: exposed wires throughout where fixtures and switch plates should be. Licensed eval required; FPE/Zinsco risk unresolved until read on site. |
| Plumbing | OBSERVATION: PEX supply (red/blue) visible in an open laundry-wall cavity, suggesting partial updates. Drain-line condition not shown. |
| HVAC | FACT: central ducted system (floor/ceiling registers). OBSERVATION: condenser, air handler, and water heater never shown in any clip; age and condition unknown (on-site item). |
| Roof | FACT/OBSERVATION: architectural shingle, single layer, looks to have 10 to 15 years left from the street, BUT two interior ceiling stains (kitchen, master bath) indicate an active leak at a penetration or flashing. Budget localized repair, not a full re-roof, pending attic check. |
| Foundation / crawlspace | FACT: brick foundation, dirt-floor crawlspace with debris and no visible vapor barrier. OBSERVATION: no standing water or obvious structural failure seen, but the view was brief and dark. |
| Rear egress | FACT: the rear door opens to a 3 to 4 ft drop with no deck, stairs, or landing. Safety and code item; needs a built landing plus stairs. |
| Site / exterior | FACT: brick exterior in fair condition (needs pressure wash), missing front gutters, severe waist-high overgrowth across the lot, a mature front tree with dead branches (hazard), cracked driveway apron. Major cleanout. |
Part 3 of 4
Comps, the repair estimate, and the rental case.
| Address | Sold price | Sqft | $/sqft | Sold | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 Brookhaven Cir | $181,900 | 1,160 | $157 | Apr 28, 2026 | SAME STREET, strongest comp. Full gut reno (bought distressed $128K 1/2/26, resold $181.9K). 3/2. |
| 49 Thurgood Marshall Rd | $175,000 | 1,078 | $162 | Feb 9, 2026 | Verified sold. Updated, LVP throughout, move-in ready. Closest size match. |
| 15 Honeysuckle Ter | $217,500 | 1,168 | $186 | Dec 31, 2025 | Verified sold. Renovated 2/2 patio home, The Arbours (higher tier). |
| 23 Woodbine Ct | $232,000 | 1,077 | $215 | Feb 6, 2026 | Verified sold. Updated 2/2 patio home, The Arbours. Shows the small-home $/sqft premium ($215/sqft). |
| 202 Placid Ct | $90,200 | 1,080 | $84 | Jul 2, 2025 | Verified sold. AS-IS / unrenovated ($84/sqft). The before-reno floor, not an ARV comp. |
Size-matched comps blend to $160/sqft. Working ARV held at $170,000 (range $160,000 to $180,000). Anchored to the same-street 713 Brookhaven Cir gut-reno flip ($181,900, $157/sqft) and 49 Thurgood Marshall ($162/sqft). Our 1,008 sqft home is smaller than the comps, and smaller homes carry a higher $/sqft (the 1,077 sqft Woodbine reno hit $215/sqft), so $170K (~$169/sqft) sits just above the larger-comp blend and is held conservative for the 3/1.5 config. Upside to $180K if it finishes like the Arbours patio-home tier.
| Address | Flyer claim | What the record shows |
|---|---|---|
| 713 Brookhaven Cir | Redfin Estimate (AVM) showed $187,653 | Automated estimate, NOT a sale. The recorded sale was $181,900; ARV math uses the recorded figure. |
| 230 Brookhaven Cir | A $320,000 sale 12/19/2025 appears nearby | Larger home (1,920 sqft), different tier; excluded from this 1,008 sqft underwrite. |
✓ Flip-grade completion line items (investor crew + stock finishes) from the Agent's video read (two passes), each localized to a 2026 Spartanburg / Upstate SC unit-cost source (per-line citations in condition-defects.md Section 5). Completion plus deferred items, not a full gut: new windows and LVP are already in. Band midpoint equals the engine repair_total ($45,540); the high end covers a full roof, panel replacement, or an HVAC swap if on-site verification finds them.
| Roof: localized leak repair at penetrations/flashing (shingle has remaining life) | $4,000 |
| Kitchen completion: finish cabinet set, counters, appliances, sink/faucet hookup, backsplash | $6,000 |
| Full bath build-out: tub/shower + surround, drywall, vanity, toilet set, fixtures, floor | $5,000 |
| Half bath completion: vanity/sink hookup, toilet, finish | $1,000 |
| Electrical: secure + cover both panels, licensed eval, GFCIs, device + fixture trim-out | $4,500 |
| Plumbing: complete kitchen + bath connections | $1,500 |
| HVAC: inspect/service, allowance for partial repair (system not shown, age unknown) | $2,000 |
| Rear egress: code-compliant deck/landing + stairs (door opens to a 3 to 4 ft drop) | $3,000 |
| Drywall repair (holes + two ceiling water-stain areas) + full interior paint | $4,500 |
| Flooring completion + baseboards throughout | $2,000 |
| Doors: secure front entry + interior doors/hardware | $1,200 |
| Site: overgrowth cleanout, haul-off, hazard tree, basic landscaping | $3,500 |
| Front gutters + crawlspace vapor barrier | $1,200 |
| Permits, dumpster, misc. | $2,000 |
| Subtotal | $41,400 |
| Contingency | $4,140 |
| Total working estimate | $45,540 |
2026 local cost sources, by line: roof, Spartanburg shingle pricing and small-home replacement (homeyou, 86 Spartanburg projects; This Old House SC); kitchen, Spartanburg remodel average (Swivl); full bath, Spartanburg and SC gut range (Modernize); electrical, Spartanburg to Greenville panel and rewire (homeyou, costof.homes); HVAC, Upstate SC replacement (hvacprojectcost, Waldrop); tree and site, Spartanburg tree removal by size (homeyou); interior paint $2 to $6 per sqft (Homewyse). Minor lines (half bath, plumbing finish, rear stairs, flooring finish, doors, gutters, permits) are standard flip-grade allowances. These are 2026 local cost-guide ranges for screening, not a contractor bid; confirm with an on-site contractor bid before any offer.
All figures at the $122,000 ask. Market rent $1,400/mo. Renovated 3/1.5 ~1,008 sqft, 29307. Sources: 29307 3BR house rents $1,172 to $1,795 (Apartments.com / Rent.com June 2026); Spartanburg median ~$1,367. Rent-ready rehab assumes the flip repair minus resale-grade finish savings; systems, roof, and the subfloor hole are still required.
| Purchase (ask) | $122,000 |
| Rent-ready rehab | $33,540 |
| Acquisition closing | $1,830 |
| All-in basis | $157,370 |
| Gross rent (annual) | $16,800 |
| Taxes | $2,786 |
| Insurance | $1,500 |
| Management | $1,512 |
| Maintenance / capex | $1,680 |
| Vacancy | $1,008 |
| Operating expenses | $8,486 |
| NOI (annual) | $8,314 |
Part 4 of 4
Every figure, its formula, and where it came from.
Every figure below is computed by deal_engine.py (rules 2026-06-01). Each number carries its formula and a source or VERIFIED / ESTIMATE / UNVERIFIED tag.
| Input | Value | Source / justification |
|---|---|---|
| Asking price | $122,000 | VERIFIED Spartanburg County deed [withheld], 7/31/2024 foreclosure Off-market; no active listing or set price |
| ARV (after repair value) | $170,000 | ESTIMATE Size-matched $/sqft anchored to same-street 713 Brookhaven Cir gut-reno flip ($181,900 / 1,160 sqft = $157/sqft, sold 4/28/2026) and 49 Thurgood Marshall Rd ($175,000 / 1,078 sqft = $162/sqft, 2/9/2026) /validate pass 2026-06-17: CONFIRMED (conservative). 713 Brookhaven (same street, renovated) now shows $189,399 on Zillow vs the $181,900 recorded sale, so renovated same-street value is $182K to $189K; 29307 trend net flat (+1.7% YoY). Our 1,008 sqft 3/1.5 is held below at ~$169/sqft (smaller homes carry higher $/sqft: 1,077 sqft Woodbine reno hit $215) |
| Repair total | $45,540 | ESTIMATE Flip-grade completion line items from the Agent's video condition read (two passes); per-line costs localized to 2026 Spartanburg / Upstate SC sources in condition-defects.md Section 5 (roof homeyou, kitchen Swivl, bath Modernize, electrical homeyou/costof.homes, HVAC hvacprojectcost, tree homeyou) /validate pass 2026-06-17: PARTIALLY TRUE. Spartanburg whole-house gut runs $60 to $100/sqft (Swivl/RenoCanvas 2026); this is a completion (windows + LVP already in) at ~$45/sqft, defensible, and the band high end ($58K, ~$58/sqft) covers a move toward gut pricing if roof/HVAC/panels surprise on site |
| Market rent | $1,400/mo | ESTIMATE 29307 3BR house rents $1,172 to $1,795 (Apartments.com / Rent.com June 2026); Spartanburg median ~$1,367 /validate pass 2026-06-17: CONFIRMED (conservative). Spartanburg 3BR houses average $1,450 to $1,580 (RentCafe/Apartments.com); $1,400 for a small 3/1.5 sits at the low-middle |
| Annual property tax | $2,786/yr | VERIFIED Spartanburg County Treasurer 2025 bill, receipt [withheld] (base $2,701.95 + $84 fee) Derived (FMV $103,900 x 6% x 433.42 mills / 1000) = $2,702, reconciles within the $84 flat fee |
derived annual tax = (FMV $103,900 x ratio 0.06 - exemptions $0) x millage 433.42 / 1000 = $2,702/yr. Stated annual_tax $2,786/yr, delta ($84) within 5%. Spartanburg County Treasurer 2025 bill (receipt [withheld]): base tax $2,701.95 on assessed $6,234 implies 433.42 mills; plus an $84 flat landfill fee = $2,785.95. SC non-owner residential assesses at 6%. CAVEAT: an ATI reassessment on transfer plus the renovation can reset FMV toward market (~$170K), pushing the recurring tax toward ~$4,400/yr; stress-test the rental case at that level.
| Millage authority | Mills | Tax portion |
|---|---|---|
| Spartanburg combined levy for parcel [withheld] | 433.42 | $2,702 |
| Total | 433.42 | $2,702 |
| Line | Amount | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Repair subtotal | $41,400 | sum of repair_lines |
| Contingency | $4,140 | subtotal $41,400 x 10% |
| Repair total | $45,540 | $41,400 + $4,140 |
| Flip MAO | $73,460 | ARV $170,000 x 70% rule - repair $45,540 |
| Acquisition closing | $1,830 | 1.5% x ask $122,000 |
| Selling cost | $11,050 | 6.5% x ARV $170,000 |
| Holding cost (6 mo) | $4,500 | fixed 6-month holding allowance |
| Profit at ask | ($14,920) | ARV - ask - acq - repair - holding - selling |
| Buy-in for target $45,000 | $62,966 | solve profit(P) = $45,000 target |
| Line | Amount | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Rent-ready rehab | $33,540 | repair $45,540 - rent-grade savings $12,000 |
| Acquisition closing | $1,830 | 1.5% x ask $122,000 |
| All-in basis | $157,370 | ask $122,000 + rent-ready rehab $33,540 + closing $1,830 |
| Gross rent (annual) | $16,800 | rent $1,400/mo x 12 |
| Taxes (opex) | $2,786 | annual_tax input |
| Insurance (opex) | $1,500 | annual_insurance input |
| Management (opex) | $1,512 | 9% x gross $16,800 |
| Maintenance / capex (opex) | $1,680 | 10% x gross $16,800 |
| Vacancy (opex) | $1,008 | 6% x gross $16,800 |
| Operating expenses | $8,486 | sum of opex lines above |
| NOI (annual) | $8,314 | gross $16,800 - opex $8,486 |
| Cap rate | 5.3% | NOI $8,314 / all-in $157,370 (target 7%) |
| 1% rule | 1.15% | rent $1,400 / ask $122,000 |
| Down payment | $24,400 | 20% x ask $122,000 |
| Loan | $97,600 | ask $122,000 - down $24,400 |
| Monthly P&I | $682 | loan $97,600 @ 7.50%/yr, 30-yr amortized |
| Monthly cash flow | $10 | NOI/12 $693 - P&I $682 |
| Cash invested | $59,770 | down $24,400 + rehab $33,540 + closing $1,830 |
| Cash-on-cash | 0.2% | (NOI $8,314 - annual debt $8,189) / cash invested $59,770 |
| Buy-in for 7% cap | $83,972 | solve cap(P) = 7% |
| Buy-in for 1% rule | $140,000 | rent $1,400 / 0.01 |